Summary
Harvard psychologist Daniel Gilbert takes readers on a whirlwind tour of the human brain, exploring how our unique ability to imagine the future often leads us astray in predicting what will make us happy. Gilbert argues that the futures we envision are often distorted by our current emotions, our flawed memories, and our psychological blind spots - but recognizing these limitations, we can learn to more accurately forecast our feelings and maximize our well-being.
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The Human Brain Is The Only Time Machine
The human brain is unique in the animal kingdom in its ability to mentally travel through time - to imagine the future in great detail before it happens. This allows humans to preview different futures and make decisions in the present to steer themselves toward the best possible tomorrow. Imagination is one of the most powerful gifts evolution has given to humans.
Section: 1, Chapter: 1
"All Men Seek Happiness"
"All men seek happiness. This is without exception. Whatever different means they employ, they all tend to this end. The cause of some going to war, and of others avoiding it, is the same desire in both, attended with different views. The will never takes the least step but to this object. This is the motive of every action of every man, even of those who hang themselves." - Blaise Pascal
Section: 1, Chapter: 1
Happiness Is Hard To Define
While people universally seek happiness, the word "happiness" itself is very hard to define precisely. Happiness refers to a subjective feeling, a personal experience. We can't point to happiness as an objective thing in the external world. And your experience of happiness is impossible for anyone else to access directly. When we talk about happiness, we're referring to an internal state that we know when we feel it, but struggle to put into words.
Consider the real-life case of conjoined twins Lori and Reba Schappell. Most people assume conjoined twins must be very unhappy being physically attached to each other for life. But Lori and Reba report being quite happy and wouldn't want to be separated. Is their experience of happiness the same as what non-conjoined people feel? There's no way to directly compare subjective experiences between individuals. We can't get "inside" their minds to feel what their version of happiness is like compared to ours.
Section: 2, Chapter: 2
We Fill In Details When Remembering And Imagining
Both when remembering the past and imagining the future, the human brain tends to "fill in" missing details that weren't originally stored, in order to construct a coherent scene or narrative.
- In memory, we don't store every detail of a past event. When we later retrieve that memory, the brain fills in plausible details to flesh it out, but these details may be inaccurate.
- When imagining a future event, the brain constructs a scene with many assumed details that may not match the actual details that will exist in that future moment.
In both cases, we aren't aware in the moment that our brain is "making up" details that feel real to us. We tend to trust that the details in our remembered and imagined scenes are accurate.
Section: 2, Chapter: 2
Outside Looking In
Keep in mind that you can never fully know what a subjective experience, like happiness, feels like for someone else. Even when people tell you they are happy, you are relying on their self-report, with no ability to verify their inner state.
When a friend reports being very happy or unhappy about something, resist the urge to assume you know exactly what that feeling is like for them. Instead, express empathy and compassion without claiming to fully understand their experience. Acknowledge that their happiness is unique to them.
Section: 2, Chapter: 3
Our Brains Edit Our Experiences
The human brain acts like a clever "editor" of our life experiences, not a perfect transcriptionist. Both in the present moment and when recalling memories, the brain unconsciously tweaks and fills in details to construct a cohesive narrative.
For example, in the present, the brain filters out details to focus on what it deems important. In memory, it reconstructs past events with plausible details to flesh out a clear story. The key is that this editing happens unconsciously - we aren't aware of it and tend to fully believe the edited version our brains present to us.
Section: 2, Chapter: 3
In the Blind Spot of the Mind's Eye
When we imagine future events, our brains are prone to making certain mistakes that we aren't consciously aware of in the moment:
We tend to fill in details of imagined events based on our current circumstances, rather than adjusting for how our circumstances may change in the future.
We tend to imagine the most salient details of an event (e.g. the moment of winning an award) but gloss over less exciting details (e.g. the boring acceptance speech).
We tend to imagine events in isolation and neglect to consider how they'll fit into the context of other events in our lives.
Because of these flaws, the way we imagine future events is often not accurate to how we'll actually experience those events if they come to pass. But we tend to trust our imaginations and make decisions accordingly.
Section: 3, Chapter: 4
Imagined Details Feel Real
In one study, students were asked to predict how much they would enjoy a bicycle trip depending on various factors like weather, scenery, and breakfast options.
When asked to predict their enjoyment, the students automatically imagined details like cool sunny weather and a delicious breakfast. These imagined details led them to predict a very enjoyable trip.
In reality, the actual details of the trip would undoubtedly differ from what any one student specifically imagined. Their enjoyment would depend on the real details, not their imagined ones. But the imagined details felt real to them and heavily influenced their predictions.
Section: 3, Chapter: 4
We Imagine Salient Details And Neglect Context
When imagining a potential future event, like a job change or relationship, our brains tend to focus heavily on the most salient details (exciting projects at the new job, romantic dates with the new partner) while neglecting the mundane details and broader life context (boring meetings at the new job, arguments with the new partner).
To make better decisions, try to imagine the full context of the potential event. Don't just focus on the most exciting highlights in isolation. Mentally simulate how it will interact with other parts of your daily life. Consciously fill in details beyond the most salient ones. The extra mental work can pay off with a more realistic imagined experience to inform your choices.
Section: 3, Chapter: 4
The Hound of Silence
When imagining future events, we tend to fill the scene with details of what will be present. But we fail to consider what will be absent:
- We imagine how great it will feel to have a new car stereo but forget that we won't have the $500 we spend on it.
- We imagine the fun of playing with a new puppy but neglect the absence of free time we'll experience.
- We imagine how impressive our new job title will sound but not the absence of our previous coworker friendships.
Because imagined events feel real and detailed to us, we don't notice the missing pieces. In reality, what's absent from the scene (money, time, friends) will influence our real experience as much as what's present.
Section: 3, Chapter: 5
The Future Is Now
When imagining the future, the human brain relies heavily on the details of the present moment to fill in the details. This leads to mispredictions when the future is actually different from the present:
- When we're hungry, we overshop because we assume we'll be as hungry in the future.
- When we're in love, we assume we'll feel as passionately in the future.
- When current events are going well, we imagine that trajectory continuing into the future.
In reality, our circumstances, values, and tastes change over time. The full, sated feeling we'll experience after a big meal in the future isn't reflected in our hungry predictions in the present. Because the present is so visceral and accessible, our brains treat it as the best guide to the future, even when that leads us astray.
Section: 4, Chapter: 6
Presentism Leads To Overstated Predictions
When college students are asked to predict how happy they'll feel after their football team wins an upcoming game, they tend to overstate their happiness. They imagine the euphoria they currently feel while anticipating the potential win.
In reality, when the team does win, the students are likely to be busy studying for exams, arguing with their parents, and dealing with everyday annoyances. Their happiness is diluted by other simultaneous events.
The students don't account for the fact that their current uninterrupted euphoria won't be reflective of a more complicated future context.
Section: 4, Chapter: 6
We Expect The Future To Be Like The Present
When we imagine the distant future, our brains tend to simply take our current selves and project them forward, without accounting for the ways we'll change over time.
- We imagine our current hobbies and interests will remain stable over decades.
- We imagine wanting the same foods and lifestyle forever.
- We imagine our relationships continuing with the same dynamics for years.
Just as objects in the distance look flat and simplified compared to up-close, imagined distant events look like simplistic extensions of the present. We don't fill in realistic details about how our personalities, environments, and tastes may slowly shift.
Section: 4, Chapter: 7
The Myth Of Permanence
When making long-term decisions, be wary of the assumption that your current preferences are permanent. Ask yourself "How might my tastes change over time?"
- That sports car may be your dream ride now, but will you feel the same when you have kids?
- That fixer-upper house may seem charming now, but will you still want to spend weekends on renovations in five years?
- That thrilling but unstable relationship may be exciting now, but will you still prefer drama over security when you're older?
Consciously imagine how your future self may differ from your current self. Make choices that account for gradual change, not just permanent extension of the present.
Section: 4, Chapter: 7
We Rationalize Reality To Make It Feel Okay
The human brain has a powerful built-in ability to make the best of undesirable situations - to reframe negative events in a positive light in order to maintain a reasonably happy baseline. This tendency is called the "psychological immune system."
- When rejected for a job, we decide it wasn't the right fit for us anyway.
- When a relationship ends, we focus on our ex-partner's flaws that we're now free of.
- When we fail to achieve a goal, we discover that other goals matter more to us.
By shifting our perspective, we can dampen the emotional impact of negative events and experiences. Our psychological immune system lets us feel okay about things that didn't go our way by finding a positive angle. It helps us adapt to unpleasant realities.
Section: 5, Chapter: 8
We Cook Facts To Make Them Palatable
If you find yourself in an unpleasant situation that you can't change, try consciously "cooking the facts" to make them easier to swallow. Actively look for positive angles instead of dwelling on the negatives.
- If you don't get a promotion, list the benefits of staying in your current role another year.
- If your vacation gets rained out, brainstorm fun indoor activities to try.
- If a friend moves away, think of ways to enjoy your other social connections.
You can leverage your psychological immune system by guiding your mind to sunnier interpretations. With practice, it gets easier to find the bright side. Don't deny the negatives, but don't marinate in them either - work to balance the mental scales.
Section: 5, Chapter: 8
Immune to Reality
When imagining how we'll feel if a future event occurs, we fail to account for how powerfully our psychological immune system will help us accept and reframe it.
- When imagining how awful we'll feel if we lose a job, we neglect our ability to rationalize it as an opportunity for a fresh start in a better career.
- When imagining the pain of a potential breakup, we don't factor in how effectively we'll be able to find fault in our ex and move on.
- When imagining the devastation of a failed project, we can't see how quickly we'll shift focus to our other priorities.
Because we aren't consciously aware of our psychological immune system, we don't include its impact when predicting our reactions. We assume we'll feel as strongly as we do when initially imagining the event, ignoring our innate resilience. This leads us to overestimate the emotional impact of future events.
Section: 5, Chapter: 9
The Myths We Make To Make Sense
In the 2000 U.S. presidential election, George W. Bush was declared the winner after an intense, drawn-out vote recount process. Supporters of his opponent, Al Gore, were devastated.
When surveyed in the days after the loss, Gore supporters predicted they would still feel very upset months later. They couldn't imagine feeling okay about such a crushing defeat.
But when surveyed a few months later, they had returned to their emotional baseline. Their psychological immune systems had kicked in, allowing them to rationalize the loss ("Gore won the popular vote anyway" or "Bush will be a lame duck president").
The Gore supporters couldn't predict this resilience in the immediate aftermath of the loss, when their mental image of the future was dominated by pain. They assumed their initial feelings would persist indefinitely.
Section: 5, Chapter: 9
We Misremember The Past As More Intense
Just as we mispredict our future feelings, we also misremember our past feelings. Our memories of past emotional reactions are skewed by our current perspectives.
- When recalling a restaurant where we got food poisoning, we remember the overall experience as worse than it actually was in the moment.
- When reminiscing about an old relationship, we mentally exaggerate either the good or the bad aspects, painting a simpler picture than the nuanced reality.
- When describing past hardships to others, we play up the intensity for dramatic effect or to garner sympathy.
We don't do this on purpose - the distortions arise naturally in memory. We recall events through the lens of hindsight and our current goals. Just as imagination fails to capture the nuances of the future, memory fails to accurately reflect the nuances of the past.
Section: 6, Chapter: 10
The Illusion of Inevitability
When reflecting on a choice you made in the past, notice the tendency to assume the outcome was inevitable, and to misremember your past self as feeling more confident about the choice than you actually did.
- If a job change worked out well, you'll remember "just knowing" it was the right move, even if you were full of doubt at the time.
- If a relationship soured, you'll misremember the red flags as glaringly obvious from the start, even if you barely noticed them then.
- If a project succeeded, you'll recall being sure it was destined for greatness, even if you had major misgivings.
Recognize that your current knowledge of how things turned out is coloring your memories of how you thought and felt beforehand. Question tidy narratives about past outcomes being obvious and inevitable from the beginning. Remembering past doubts and uncertainties more accurately can help you have more sympathy for others facing hard choices now.
Section: 6, Chapter: 10
Reporting Live from Tomorrow
Since imagination and memory are such flawed guides to how you'll feel in future situations, a more reliable approach is to find someone similar to you who is currently in the situation you're contemplating, and ask them how they feel.
- If considering a move to a new city, ask someone who recently made the same move how it's going.
- If debating graduate school, interview current students about their experiences.
- If wondering if you're ready for parenthood, spend time with friends who are new parents.
Surrogates who are actively experiencing what you're imagining have more accurate insight into its emotional impact. They aren't clouded by imaginative mispredictions. While you can never know exactly how you'll react, relying on a surrogate's experience is better than relying on your own mental simulations.
Section: 6, Chapter: 11
The Myth of Fingerprints
Notice the tendency to assume your reactions will be different from other people's - that your "emotional fingerprint" is unique.
When considering a major life change, you may think:
- "Moving to the suburbs might make other people feel isolated, but I'm more independent than most."
- "Getting tenure might make other professors feel complacent, but I'll stay driven no matter what."
- "Working remotely might make other people feel disconnected, but I'm not a social butterfly anyway."
Challenge these assumptions by looking for commonalities with others, not just differences. What essential human experiences do you share?
Research shows emotional reactions are more universal than most of us assume. Putting stock in others' experiences can lead to more realistic predictions than insisting your reactions will be one-of-a-kind.
Section: 6, Chapter: 11
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